Resource and Project Energy Assessment 2018
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Networking Breakfast & Exhibits
11 Sep 18
7:30 AM
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8:30 AM
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Registration Open
11 Sep 18
7:30 AM
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5:00 PM
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Welcome & Opening Session
11 Sep 18
8:30 AM
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8:45 AM
Speaker(s):
Daniel Jaynes
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Industry Update Session
11 Sep 18
8:45 AM
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9:45 AM
Speaker(s):
Daniel Jaynes ; John Meissner ; Matthew Filippelli ; Philippe Pontbriand ; Taylor Geer
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Networking Break & Exhibits
11 Sep 18
9:45 AM
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10:15 AM
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Liquid Power Markets 201
11 Sep 18
10:15 AM
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11:30 AM
Speaker(s):
Adam Reeve ; Brian Healer ; Donna Mendez Calderon ; James Thomas
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The P99 Hedge that Wasn't: Empirical Analysis of Bank Hedge Performance in ERCOT
11 Sep 18
10:15 AM
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11:30 AM
Speaker(s):
Adam Reeve
A fixed quantity energy price swap, also known as a “P99 Hedge”, is a useful risk management tool for wind power projects but one that ...
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Networking Lunch & Exhibits
11 Sep 18
11:30 AM
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1:00 PM
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Integration of Siting and Resource Assessment
11 Sep 18
1:00 PM
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2:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Allen Wynn ; Anne-Marie Griger ; Ellen Crivella ; Patrick Pyle ; Philippe Pontbriand
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Networking Break & Exhibits
11 Sep 18
2:00 PM
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2:30 PM
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Automated mast data monitoring assistance: miss fewer issues, improve consistency while reducing analyst time & fatigue
11 Sep 18
2:30 PM
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3:45 PM
Tracks:
Data Science and Digitalization
Speaker(s):
Amit Bohara
Organizations often maintain archives of mast data that have been ‘cleaned’ during previous assessments. These historical 'clean...
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Data Science - Powering Business Value
11 Sep 18
2:30 PM
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3:45 PM
Tracks:
Data Science and Digitalization
Speaker(s):
Matthew Filippelli
Expanding on the emergence of data science techniques in the industry, this session will explore the opportunities to integrate tools and technique...
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Data Science Tools to Scale Your Team
11 Sep 18
2:30 PM
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3:45 PM
Tracks:
Data Science and Digitalization
Speaker(s):
Cory Jog
For the majority of wind energy stakeholders, the next couple of years are expected to be very busy and most teams will be overloaded. A common con...
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Power Performance Data Science with Remote Sensing
11 Sep 18
2:30 PM
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3:45 PM
Tracks:
Data Science and Digitalization
Speaker(s):
Sean Daly
Predicting turbine performance in complex flow remains a challenging problem which contributes to uncertainty in energy production assessments. Dat...
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Uncertainty quantification in the analyses of operational wind power plant performance
11 Sep 18
2:30 PM
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3:45 PM
Tracks:
Data Science and Digitalization
Speaker(s):
Anna Craig
Data collected during the operation of wind power plants may be used in many diverse contexts by different interested parties, raising the question...
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AWEA Technical Achievement Award Presentation
11 Sep 18
3:45 PM
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4:00 PM
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A Case Study on Evaluating the Impacts of Determining Seasonal Wind Speed Profile
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Paulo Henrique Valente Campos
The Brazilian wind market started with a type of contract called "Contracts for Availability", in which the accounting balances of genera...
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A Monte Carlo-based approach to assessing annual energy production and uncertainty
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Tracks:
Data Science and Digitalization
Speaker(s):
Mike Optis
The industry standard approach to assessing annual energy production (AEP) uncertainty can be limited due to the assumption of uncorrelated uncerta...
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A simple method to estimate the effect of climatic conditions on power curves
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Alvaro Gil
The scientific community agrees in accepting that climatic conditions affect the power curve of a wind turbine. The effort of that community to und...
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An investigation of seasonal bias and uncertainty of measured horizontal wind flow variations
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Danijela Vecei
With the drive to reduce wind farm development costs, the use of remote sensing instrumentation to provide short term measurement deployments (<...
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Benefits of Tall Lattice Tilt-up Towers
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Kiril Lozanov
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Climate reanalysis data as a long term source: Performance review of ERA5 vs MERRA-2
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Ana Poenariu
During the last decade the wind energy industry benefited from the development of the climate reanalysis data as a reliable long term source. Wind ...
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Comparison between two vane types
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Dylan Keefe-Reitzell
Wind direction measurements cannot always be avoided at a wind vanes dead band. The dead band due to 600 data points taken during a 10-minute data...
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Comparison of Wind Farm Net Present Value (NPV) Calculated from Linear and Mesoscale Model Based Wind Maps Corrected With Increasing Data Coverage
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Nathan Lehman
With the looming PTC cliff, development cycles are becoming compressed at the expense of resource uncertainty reduction. Mesoscale models correcte...
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Computing Blade And Ice Throw Statistics
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Tracks:
Data Science and Digitalization
Speaker(s):
Jonathan Rogers
Blade and ice throw risk assessments are becoming increasingly important elements of permitting wind projects in some geographic areas. This presen...
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Development of a Scalable Open Source Framework for Wind Plant Operational Data Analysis
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Tracks:
Data Science and Digitalization
Speaker(s):
Jordan Perr-Sauer
The WP3 Benchmark project aims to identify and quantify the sources of uncertainty in wind plant pre-construction estimates. As part of this projec...
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Effective quantification of wind speed variability at different temporal scales
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Joseph C. Y. Lee
Inter-annual variability remains a key component of the overall uncertainty in the wind resource assessment process, which is typically defined as ...
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Large eddy simulation for wind resource assessment
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Juan Camilo DAZA FERNANDEZ
A prominent geographic feature is present in the site of a wind farm in which a long ridge rises by over 500 meters over the low lands. Wind turbin...
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Method for evaluating the impact of energy offtaker curtailment using stochastic time series modeling
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Taurin Spalding
Wind projects may be strategically constructed with a total project capacity in excess of what the energy offtaker can accept as the instantaneous ...
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Networking & Poster Reception
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
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The emergence of lidar – story of lidar technologies and applications
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Speaker(s):
John Wang
The emergence and advancement of lidar technology has been making a transformational impact on the development and operation of wind farms. Lidar t...
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The Variable Relationship Between Observed and Re-Analysis Wind Speeds: Effects on P50 Bias
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Jennifer Newman
During the measure-correlate-predict (MCP) process, data from an on-site meteorological tower are correlated to a long-term reference dataset. This...
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U.S. Climatology of Low-Level Atmospheric Stability
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Jonas Asuma
Atmospheric stability is an important metric in wind resource assessment to understand horizontal and vertical wind flow variation across a site as...
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Using Nacelle Mounted Lidars and Machine Learning Model & Validate Turbine Performance in Complex Flow
11 Sep 18
4:00 PM
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5:00 PM
Tracks:
Data Science and Digitalization
Speaker(s):
Matthew Filippelli
The quantification of turbine power performance in complex terrain has historically been hampered by significant sources of uncertainty. These incl...
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WRISE Happy Hour after AWEA Wind Resource Conference
11 Sep 18
5:30 PM
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6:30 PM
WRISE is hosting a happy hour after the conference on September 11 at the Backyard at Waller Creek, right at the Sheraton. The happ...
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Networking Breakfast & Exhibits
12 Sep 18
7:30 AM
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8:30 AM
More...
Registration Open
12 Sep 18
7:30 AM
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5:00 PM
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Conservatism in Shadow Flicker Assessment and Wind Farm Design
12 Sep 18
8:30 AM
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10:00 AM
Speaker(s):
Marcel Mibus
As turbine heights and rotor diameters continue to increase, with increasingly stringent regulations, turbine siting becomes increasing constrained...
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Explore Appropriate Approaches to Produce Pxx 8760 Profiles Considering Atmospheric Persistence
12 Sep 18
8:30 AM
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10:00 AM
Tracks:
Time Series Energy Modeling
Speaker(s):
Hong Liu
Many off-takers and asset managers require that the 8760 profiles at different probability exceedance (Pxx) levels be provided. The approaches to e...
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Maximizing Project Economics Through Project Capacity Overbuild
12 Sep 18
8:30 AM
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10:00 AM
Speaker(s):
Errol Halberg
The wind industry is getting increasingly competitive with the trend in electricity rates heading steadily down. Optimizing wind farms to maximize ...
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Nuance in the Time Domain
12 Sep 18
8:30 AM
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10:00 AM
Tracks:
Time Series Energy Modeling
Speaker(s):
Kevin Walter
As more offtake arrangements rely on the accuracy of pre-construction predictions of the time variance of power production, work in recent years ...
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Time Series Modeling
12 Sep 18
8:30 AM
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10:00 AM
Tracks:
Time Series Energy Modeling
Speaker(s):
Cory Cox
Traditional IEC Standards use 10-minutes averages to measure power performance. The energy density in these measurements are not always equal to th...
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Wind Turbine Availability Time Series Analysis and Modeling
12 Sep 18
8:30 AM
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10:00 AM
Tracks:
Time Series Energy Modeling
Speaker(s):
Jonas Asuma
Downtime associated with wind turbine availability is one of the largest causes of wind farm inefficiency. Here we investigate wind turbine availab...
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Networking Break & Exhibits
12 Sep 18
10:00 AM
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10:30 AM
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Evolution of Energy Production Estimation Methods
12 Sep 18
10:30 AM
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12:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Christopher Ziesler ; Eron Jones ; Matthew Eberhard ; Paul Legac ; Taylor Geer
Methods and best practices of estimating pre-construction energy production has been a topic of much discussion and improvement in the US over the ...
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Networking Lunch & Exhibits
12 Sep 18
12:00 PM
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1:30 PM
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8 Minute ABS (Accelerated But Significant)
12 Sep 18
1:30 PM
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3:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Jared Kassebaum
Eight different presenters will give 8 minute talks covering a vast range of exciting topics. This session will feature something for everyone.&nbs...
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A New Method to Assess Wind Farm Performance and Quantify Model Uncertainty
12 Sep 18
1:30 PM
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3:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Elizabeth Walls
A novel approach of assessing a wind farm’s performance using pre-construction and operational met data has been developed and will be presen...
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Analysis of Vestas turbines performance
12 Sep 18
1:30 PM
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3:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Michael Pram Nielsen
The continuous increase of competence among different sources of renewable energy has originated a noticeable reduction of its cost. This process h...
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Are Climate Change Predictions Visible in our Current Data Sets
12 Sep 18
1:30 PM
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3:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Alex Head
We will discuss a recent report on the effect of climate change on wind energy production due to projected wind resource changes. We will provide a...
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Best practices for quantifying, interpreting, and utilizing Atmospheric Stability measurements using standard wind resource assessment sensors and CFD simulations
12 Sep 18
1:30 PM
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3:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Steven Clark
This presentation summarizes the results of a collaborative atmospheric study with contributions from Steven Clark (NRG Systems), Catherine Me...
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Lightning Talks - Are Your Charts Working? Making Descriptive and Effective Plots
12 Sep 18
1:30 PM
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3:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Kimberly Gudorf
Good visualizations are the most powerful form of communication. Our community’s energy assessment methodologies have been developed and refi...
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Power Curve Performance Test with SODAR, LiDAR, and Anemometer: A Comparison Study.
12 Sep 18
1:30 PM
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3:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Rolando Tejeda
Wind operators and developers have advanced significantly in regards to the usage of remote sensing devices (RSD); however, the industry has been s...
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Time Series Wind Resource Assessment for Microgrid Systems: A Case Study
12 Sep 18
1:30 PM
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3:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Ran Chen
More and more microgrid systems around the world are considering incorporating renewable energy into their power generation asset. When wind energy...
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Valuing Portfolio Effects
12 Sep 18
1:30 PM
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3:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Aaron Perry
So, portfolio effects due to geographic & technology diversity exist. Some people are starting to calculate them. But not many people understan...
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Networking Break & Exhibits
12 Sep 18
3:00 PM
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3:30 PM
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A New Analytical Framework to Improve Risk Quantification and Optimize Measurement Campaigns
12 Sep 18
3:30 PM
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4:45 PM
Speaker(s):
Karim Fahssis
An accurate assessment of the uncertainty is critical for evaluating the bankability of a future wind project, yet the pre-construction estimation ...
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Accounting for Blockage Effects in Energy Production Assessments
12 Sep 18
3:30 PM
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4:45 PM
Speaker(s):
James Bleeg
Recent evidence shows that blockage effects cause upstream wind speed reductions that are more pronounced and far-reaching than commonly assumed. T...
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Characterizing Wind Flow Modeling Uncertainty
12 Sep 18
3:30 PM
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4:45 PM
Speaker(s):
Elizabeth Walls
In the pre-construction phase of a wind farm, a considerable amount of time, effort, and money is often devoted to building a wind flow model to pr...
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Improving Wind Speed Predictions Using Ensemble Flow Modeling
12 Sep 18
3:30 PM
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4:45 PM
Speaker(s):
Taurin Spalding
Energy yield predictions on a given wind farm site will often make use of a single wind flow model. In some cases, multiple models may be considere...
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Round-Robin Validation of Spatial Wind Modeling at a Site with a Large Number of Towers
12 Sep 18
3:30 PM
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4:45 PM
Speaker(s):
Annie Guiler
Several recent studies have compared the relative performance of different classes of spatial wind modeling techniques. These classes usually inclu...
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Closing Session
12 Sep 18
4:45 PM
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5:00 PM
Speaker(s):
Patrick Pyle
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