Resource and Project Energy Assessment 2018

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Sessions (62)

Registration Open

11 Sep 18
7:30 AM - 5:00 PM

Welcome & Opening Session

11 Sep 18
8:30 AM - 8:45 AM
Speaker(s): Daniel Jaynes

Industry Update Session

11 Sep 18
8:45 AM - 9:45 AM
Speaker(s): Daniel Jaynes ; John Meissner ; Matthew Filippelli ; Philippe Pontbriand ; Taylor Geer

Networking Break & Exhibits

11 Sep 18
9:45 AM - 10:15 AM

Liquid Power Markets 201

11 Sep 18
10:15 AM - 11:30 AM
Speaker(s): Adam Reeve ; Brian Healer ; Donna Mendez Calderon ; James Thomas

The P99 Hedge that Wasn't: Empirical Analysis of Bank Hedge Performance in ERCOT

11 Sep 18
10:15 AM - 11:30 AM
Speaker(s): Adam Reeve
A fixed quantity energy price swap, also known as a “P99 Hedge”, is a useful risk management tool for wind power projects but one that ... More...

Networking Lunch & Exhibits

11 Sep 18
11:30 AM - 1:00 PM

Integration of Siting and Resource Assessment

11 Sep 18
1:00 PM - 2:00 PM
Speaker(s): Allen Wynn ; Anne-Marie Griger ; Ellen Crivella ; Patrick Pyle ; Philippe Pontbriand

Networking Break & Exhibits

11 Sep 18
2:00 PM - 2:30 PM

Automated mast data monitoring assistance: miss fewer issues, improve consistency while reducing analyst time & fatigue

11 Sep 18
2:30 PM - 3:45 PM

Tracks: Data Science and Digitalization

Speaker(s): Amit Bohara
Organizations often maintain archives of mast data that have been ‘cleaned’ during previous assessments. These historical 'clean... More...

Data Science - Powering Business Value

11 Sep 18
2:30 PM - 3:45 PM

Tracks: Data Science and Digitalization

Speaker(s): Matthew Filippelli
Expanding on the emergence of data science techniques in the industry, this session will explore the opportunities to integrate tools and technique... More...

Data Science Tools to Scale Your Team

11 Sep 18
2:30 PM - 3:45 PM

Tracks: Data Science and Digitalization

Speaker(s): Cory Jog
For the majority of wind energy stakeholders, the next couple of years are expected to be very busy and most teams will be overloaded. A common con... More...

Power Performance Data Science with Remote Sensing

11 Sep 18
2:30 PM - 3:45 PM

Tracks: Data Science and Digitalization

Speaker(s): Sean Daly
Predicting turbine performance in complex flow remains a challenging problem which contributes to uncertainty in energy production assessments. Dat... More...

Uncertainty quantification in the analyses of operational wind power plant performance

11 Sep 18
2:30 PM - 3:45 PM

Tracks: Data Science and Digitalization

Speaker(s): Anna Craig
Data collected during the operation of wind power plants may be used in many diverse contexts by different interested parties, raising the question... More...

A Case Study on Evaluating the Impacts of Determining Seasonal Wind Speed Profile

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM
Speaker(s): Paulo Henrique Valente Campos
The Brazilian wind market started with a type of contract called "Contracts for Availability", in which the accounting balances of genera... More...

A Monte Carlo-based approach to assessing annual energy production and uncertainty

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM

Tracks: Data Science and Digitalization

Speaker(s): Mike Optis
The industry standard approach to assessing annual energy production (AEP) uncertainty can be limited due to the assumption of uncorrelated uncerta... More...

A simple method to estimate the effect of climatic conditions on power curves

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM
Speaker(s): Alvaro Gil
The scientific community agrees in accepting that climatic conditions affect the power curve of a wind turbine. The effort of that community to und... More...

An investigation of seasonal bias and uncertainty of measured horizontal wind flow variations

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM
Speaker(s): Danijela Vecei
With the drive to reduce wind farm development costs, the use of remote sensing instrumentation to provide short term measurement deployments (<... More...

Benefits of Tall Lattice Tilt-up Towers

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM
Speaker(s): Kiril Lozanov

Climate reanalysis data as a long term source: Performance review of ERA5 vs MERRA-2

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM
Speaker(s): Ana Poenariu
During the last decade the wind energy industry benefited from the development of the climate reanalysis data as a reliable long term source. Wind ... More...

Comparison between two vane types

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM
Speaker(s): Dylan Keefe-Reitzell
Wind direction measurements cannot always be avoided at a wind vanes dead band. The dead band due to 600 data points taken during a 10-minute data... More...

Comparison of Wind Farm Net Present Value (NPV) Calculated from Linear and Mesoscale Model Based Wind Maps Corrected With Increasing Data Coverage

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM
Speaker(s): Nathan Lehman
With the looming PTC cliff, development cycles are becoming compressed at the expense of resource uncertainty reduction. Mesoscale models correcte... More...

Computing Blade And Ice Throw Statistics

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM

Tracks: Data Science and Digitalization

Speaker(s): Jonathan Rogers
Blade and ice throw risk assessments are becoming increasingly important elements of permitting wind projects in some geographic areas. This presen... More...

Development of a Scalable Open Source Framework for Wind Plant Operational Data Analysis

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM

Tracks: Data Science and Digitalization

Speaker(s): Jordan Perr-Sauer
The WP3 Benchmark project aims to identify and quantify the sources of uncertainty in wind plant pre-construction estimates. As part of this projec... More...

Effective quantification of wind speed variability at different temporal scales

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM
Speaker(s): Joseph C. Y. Lee
Inter-annual variability remains a key component of the overall uncertainty in the wind resource assessment process, which is typically defined as ... More...

Large eddy simulation for wind resource assessment

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM
Speaker(s): Juan Camilo DAZA FERNANDEZ
A prominent geographic feature is present in the site of a wind farm in which a long ridge rises by over 500 meters over the low lands. Wind turbin... More...

Method for evaluating the impact of energy offtaker curtailment using stochastic time series modeling

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM
Speaker(s): Taurin Spalding
Wind projects may be strategically constructed with a total project capacity in excess of what the energy offtaker can accept as the instantaneous ... More...

Networking & Poster Reception

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM

The emergence of lidar – story of lidar technologies and applications

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM
Speaker(s): John Wang
The emergence and advancement of lidar technology has been making a transformational impact on the development and operation of wind farms. Lidar t... More...

The Variable Relationship Between Observed and Re-Analysis Wind Speeds: Effects on P50 Bias

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM
Speaker(s): Jennifer Newman
During the measure-correlate-predict (MCP) process, data from an on-site meteorological tower are correlated to a long-term reference dataset. This... More...

U.S. Climatology of Low-Level Atmospheric Stability

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM
Speaker(s): Jonas Asuma
Atmospheric stability is an important metric in wind resource assessment to understand horizontal and vertical wind flow variation across a site as... More...

Using Nacelle Mounted Lidars and Machine Learning Model & Validate Turbine Performance in Complex Flow

11 Sep 18
4:00 PM - 5:00 PM

Tracks: Data Science and Digitalization

Speaker(s): Matthew Filippelli
The quantification of turbine power performance in complex terrain has historically been hampered by significant sources of uncertainty. These incl... More...

WRISE Happy Hour after AWEA Wind Resource Conference

11 Sep 18
5:30 PM - 6:30 PM
WRISE is hosting a happy hour after the conference on September 11 at the Backyard at Waller Creek, right at the Sheraton.  The happ... More...

Registration Open

12 Sep 18
7:30 AM - 5:00 PM

Conservatism in Shadow Flicker Assessment and Wind Farm Design

12 Sep 18
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Speaker(s): Marcel Mibus
As turbine heights and rotor diameters continue to increase, with increasingly stringent regulations, turbine siting becomes increasing constrained... More...

Explore Appropriate Approaches to Produce Pxx 8760 Profiles Considering Atmospheric Persistence

12 Sep 18
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM

Tracks: Time Series Energy Modeling

Speaker(s): Hong Liu
Many off-takers and asset managers require that the 8760 profiles at different probability exceedance (Pxx) levels be provided. The approaches to e... More...

Maximizing Project Economics Through Project Capacity Overbuild

12 Sep 18
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Speaker(s): Errol Halberg
The wind industry is getting increasingly competitive with the trend in electricity rates heading steadily down. Optimizing wind farms to maximize ... More...

Nuance in the Time Domain

12 Sep 18
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM

Tracks: Time Series Energy Modeling

Speaker(s): Kevin Walter
As more offtake arrangements rely on the accuracy of pre-construction predictions of the time variance of power production, work in recent years ... More...

Time Series Modeling

12 Sep 18
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM

Tracks: Time Series Energy Modeling

Speaker(s): Cory Cox
Traditional IEC Standards use 10-minutes averages to measure power performance. The energy density in these measurements are not always equal to th... More...

Wind Turbine Availability Time Series Analysis and Modeling

12 Sep 18
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM

Tracks: Time Series Energy Modeling

Speaker(s): Jonas Asuma
Downtime associated with wind turbine availability is one of the largest causes of wind farm inefficiency. Here we investigate wind turbine availab... More...

Networking Break & Exhibits

12 Sep 18
10:00 AM - 10:30 AM

Evolution of Energy Production Estimation Methods

12 Sep 18
10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
Speaker(s): Christopher Ziesler ; Eron Jones ; Matthew Eberhard ; Paul Legac ; Taylor Geer
Methods and best practices of estimating pre-construction energy production has been a topic of much discussion and improvement in the US over the ... More...

Networking Lunch & Exhibits

12 Sep 18
12:00 PM - 1:30 PM

8 Minute ABS (Accelerated But Significant)

12 Sep 18
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Speaker(s): Jared Kassebaum
Eight different presenters will give 8 minute talks covering a vast range of exciting topics. This session will feature something for everyone.&nbs... More...

A New Method to Assess Wind Farm Performance and Quantify Model Uncertainty

12 Sep 18
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Speaker(s): Elizabeth Walls
A novel approach of assessing a wind farm’s performance using pre-construction and operational met data has been developed and will be presen... More...

Analysis of Vestas turbines performance

12 Sep 18
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Speaker(s): Michael Pram Nielsen
The continuous increase of competence among different sources of renewable energy has originated a noticeable reduction of its cost. This process h... More...

Are Climate Change Predictions Visible in our Current Data Sets

12 Sep 18
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Speaker(s): Alex Head
We will discuss a recent report on the effect of climate change on wind energy production due to projected wind resource changes. We will provide a... More...

Best practices for quantifying, interpreting, and utilizing Atmospheric Stability measurements using standard wind resource assessment sensors and CFD simulations

12 Sep 18
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Speaker(s): Steven Clark
This presentation summarizes the results of a collaborative atmospheric study with contributions from Steven Clark (NRG Systems), Catherine Me... More...

Lightning Talks - Are Your Charts Working? Making Descriptive and Effective Plots

12 Sep 18
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Speaker(s): Kimberly Gudorf
Good visualizations are the most powerful form of communication. Our community’s energy assessment methodologies have been developed and refi... More...

Power Curve Performance Test with SODAR, LiDAR, and Anemometer: A Comparison Study.

12 Sep 18
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Speaker(s): Rolando Tejeda
Wind operators and developers have advanced significantly in regards to the usage of remote sensing devices (RSD); however, the industry has been s... More...

Time Series Wind Resource Assessment for Microgrid Systems: A Case Study

12 Sep 18
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Speaker(s): Ran Chen
More and more microgrid systems around the world are considering incorporating renewable energy into their power generation asset. When wind energy... More...

Valuing Portfolio Effects

12 Sep 18
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Speaker(s): Aaron Perry
So, portfolio effects due to geographic & technology diversity exist. Some people are starting to calculate them. But not many people understan... More...

Networking Break & Exhibits

12 Sep 18
3:00 PM - 3:30 PM

A New Analytical Framework to Improve Risk Quantification and Optimize Measurement Campaigns

12 Sep 18
3:30 PM - 4:45 PM
Speaker(s): Karim Fahssis
An accurate assessment of the uncertainty is critical for evaluating the bankability of a future wind project, yet the pre-construction estimation ... More...

Accounting for Blockage Effects in Energy Production Assessments

12 Sep 18
3:30 PM - 4:45 PM
Speaker(s): James Bleeg
Recent evidence shows that blockage effects cause upstream wind speed reductions that are more pronounced and far-reaching than commonly assumed. T... More...

Characterizing Wind Flow Modeling Uncertainty

12 Sep 18
3:30 PM - 4:45 PM
Speaker(s): Elizabeth Walls
In the pre-construction phase of a wind farm, a considerable amount of time, effort, and money is often devoted to building a wind flow model to pr... More...

Improving Wind Speed Predictions Using Ensemble Flow Modeling

12 Sep 18
3:30 PM - 4:45 PM
Speaker(s): Taurin Spalding
Energy yield predictions on a given wind farm site will often make use of a single wind flow model. In some cases, multiple models may be considere... More...

Round-Robin Validation of Spatial Wind Modeling at a Site with a Large Number of Towers

12 Sep 18
3:30 PM - 4:45 PM
Speaker(s): Annie Guiler
Several recent studies have compared the relative performance of different classes of spatial wind modeling techniques. These classes usually inclu... More...

Closing Session

12 Sep 18
4:45 PM - 5:00 PM
Speaker(s): Patrick Pyle